Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.068223 0.079798 0.092695 0.108127 0.126089 0.146333 0.170883
2025-09-14 0.049980 0.064978 0.083480 0.107962 0.139501 0.178761 0.231365
2025-09-21 0.038476 0.054262 0.075316 0.105413 0.147312 0.203574 0.284908
2025-09-28 0.030640 0.046213 0.068365 0.102109 0.152178 0.223719 0.333775
2025-10-05 0.026517 0.042379 0.066227 0.104595 0.164728 0.255346 0.402371
2025-10-12 0.022981 0.038682 0.063487 0.105394 0.174360 0.283332 0.468711
2025-10-19 0.020089 0.035455 0.060853 0.105717 0.182907 0.310243 0.536392
2025-10-26 0.017969 0.033133 0.059267 0.107368 0.193587 0.341574 0.615010
2025-11-02 0.016457 0.031612 0.058765 0.110693 0.207389 0.379588 0.709673
2025-11-09 0.014208 0.028381 0.054740 0.107029 0.208007 0.394269 0.764049
2025-11-16 0.012727 0.026380 0.052678 0.106679 0.214599 0.420355 0.842516
2025-11-23 0.011379 0.024433 0.050438 0.105626 0.219585 0.443812 0.918538
2025-11-30 0.010519 0.023391 0.049894 0.108001 0.231918 0.483422 1.032602
2025-12-07 0.009436 0.021715 0.047835 0.106961 0.237105 0.509404 1.122261
2025-12-14 0.008355 0.019880 0.045184 0.104268 0.238369 0.527341 1.197064
2025-12-21 0.007370 0.018114 0.042438 0.100967 0.237812 0.541221 1.264607
2025-12-28 0.006912 0.017516 0.042232 0.103419 0.250553 0.585673 1.406318
2026-01-04 0.006390 0.016686 0.041373 0.104208 0.259496 0.622582 1.535161
2026-01-11 0.005894 0.015847 0.040379 0.104528 0.267335 0.657818 1.664378
2026-01-18 0.005520 0.015266 0.039939 0.106160 0.278600 0.702475 1.822077
2026-01-25 0.005262 0.014956 0.040137 0.109448 0.294465 0.760160 2.019474
2026-02-01 0.004701 0.013735 0.037820 0.105825 0.291949 0.771756 2.100322
2026-02-08 0.004342 0.013029 0.036774 0.105478 0.298089 0.806124 2.245171